UCLA
W-L: (52-11) PR = 99.5460Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Northern Colorado BSKY ( 2- 8, 91.2) 10- 1 206 H UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 18- 1 207 H Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 12- 4 207 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 11- 0 208 H UC Riverside BW ( 2-11, 89.5) 17- 0 213 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 3- 4 213 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 6- 5 214 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 0-11 214 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 7-11 215 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 8- 3 219 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 23- 1 220 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 10- 5 220 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 6- 5 221 H South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 5- 4 221 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 11- 0 222 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 15- 7 227 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 15-12 227 H East Texas A&M SL ( 0- 9, 85.9) 14- 0 228 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 13- 8 228 A Seattle U WC ( 2- 4, 93.0) 16-10 301 A Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 13- 3 301 A Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 13- 3 306 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 14- 5 307 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 8- 0 308 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 16- 9 311 H Loyola Marymount WC (12- 8, 93.8) 9- 1 313 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 10- 0 314 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 18-10 315 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 10- 2 321 A Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 16- 5 322 A Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 13- 3 323 A Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 17- 6 327 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 1-10 328 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 6- 6 329 A Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 4- 8 402 H Hawai'i BW ( 0- 7, 87.6) 9- 5 403 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 5- 4 404 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 7- 2 405 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 4- 0 407 A Cal State Fullerton BW (10-11, 94.8) 13-11 410 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 17- 0 411 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 10- 1 412 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 18- 0 414 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 13- 6 415 A Long Beach State BW ( 4- 8, 90.4) 27- 9 418 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 13- 5 418 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 9- 1 424 A Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 7- 5 425 A Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 7- 2 426 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 9-15 501 H Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 2- 8 502 H Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 11-13 503 H Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 11- 3 507 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 6- 1 508 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 19- 5 509 A Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 2- 7 515 H California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 12-11 516 H South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 7- 2 517 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 15- 1 522 H UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 9- 1 523 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 14- 4 528 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 3- 6 529 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 11- 0 531 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 7- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Northern Colorado 10- 1 9 9 -0.12
206 H UC San Diego 18- 1 17 10 ++ 4.12
207 H Oregon State 12- 4 8 10 -1.68
207 H Utah 11- 0 11 5 +++ 6.03
208 H UC Riverside 17- 0 17 11 + 3.17
213 A Oklahoma State 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.70
213 A Missouri 6- 5 1 4 - -3.31
214 A Tennessee 0-11 -11 2 --- -12.89
214 A Florida State 7-11 -4 1 -- -5.33
215 A Wichita State 8- 3 5 4 0.85
219 H Auburn 23- 1 22 6 +++ 8.46
220 H Duke 10- 5 5 4 1.33
220 H Nevada 6- 5 1 5 - -3.84
221 H South Carolina 5- 4 1 5 -- -4.32
221 H Fresno State 11- 0 11 9 + 2.31
222 H Texas A&M 15- 7 8 4 ++ 4.50
227 A Florida 15-12 3 1 1.89
227 H East Texas A&M 14- 0 14 14 0.00
228 H BYU 13- 8 5 9 - -3.86
228 A Seattle U 16-10 6 6 0.24
301 A Oregon State 13- 3 10 8 1.80
301 A Oregon State 13- 3 10 8 1.80
306 H Wisconsin 14- 5 9 6 + 2.54
307 H Wisconsin 8- 0 8 6 1.54
308 H Wisconsin 16- 9 7 6 0.54
311 H Loyola Marymount 9- 1 8 6 1.51
313 H Michigan State 10- 0 10 10 0.30
314 H Michigan State 18-10 8 10 -1.70
315 H Michigan State 10- 2 8 10 -1.70
321 A Rutgers 16- 5 11 5 ++ 5.64
322 A Rutgers 13- 3 10 5 ++ 4.64
323 A Rutgers 17- 6 11 5 ++ 5.64
327 H Nevada 1-10 -9 5 --- -13.84
328 H California Baptist 6- 6 0 7 --- -7.08
329 A Nebraska 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.12
402 H Hawai'i 9- 5 4 13 --- -8.71
403 H Indiana 5- 4 1 4 - -3.05
404 H Indiana 7- 2 5 4 0.95
405 H Indiana 4- 0 4 4 -0.05
407 A Cal State Fullerton 13-11 2 4 -1.98
410 A Illinois 17- 0 17 9 ++ 5.20
411 A Illinois 10- 1 9 9 0.20
412 A Illinois 18- 0 18 9 ++ 5.20
414 H California Baptist 13- 6 7 7 -0.08
415 A Long Beach State 27- 9 18 8 ++ 5.58
418 H California 13- 5 8 9 -0.96
418 H California 9- 1 8 9 -0.96
424 A Washington 7- 5 2 2 -0.06
425 A Washington 7- 2 5 2 + 2.94
426 H Arizona 9-15 -6 3 --- -9.22
501 H Oregon 2- 8 -6 4 --- -9.79
502 H Oregon 11-13 -2 4 -- -5.79
503 H Oregon 11- 3 8 4 ++ 4.21
507 H Penn State 6- 1 5 5 -0.33
508 H Wisconsin 19- 5 14 6 +++ 7.54
509 A Nebraska 2- 7 -5 0 -- -5.12
515 H California Baptist 12-11 1 7 --- -6.08
516 H South Carolina 7- 2 5 5 -0.32
517 A South Carolina 15- 1 14 4 +++ 10.16
522 H UCF 9- 1 8 4 + 3.96
523 A UCF 14- 4 10 3 +++ 7.45
528 A Alabama 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.67
529 A Arkansas 11- 0 11 -1 +++ 11.86
531 H Texas Tech 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.05
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Tennessee 0-11 -11 2 --- -12.89 327 H Nevada 1-10 -9 5 --- -13.84 328 H California Baptist 6- 6 0 7 --- -7.08 402 H Hawai'i 9- 5 4 13 --- -8.71 426 H Arizona 9-15 -6 3 --- -9.22 501 H Oregon 2- 8 -6 4 --- -9.79 515 H California Baptist 12-11 1 7 --- -6.08 214 A Florida State 7-11 -4 1 -- -5.33 221 H South Carolina 5- 4 1 5 -- -4.32 329 A Nebraska 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.12 502 H Oregon 11-13 -2 4 -- -5.79 509 A Nebraska 2- 7 -5 0 -- -5.12 213 A Oklahoma State 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.70 213 A Missouri 6- 5 1 4 - -3.31 220 H Nevada 6- 5 1 5 - -3.84 228 H BYU 13- 8 5 9 - -3.86 403 H Indiana 5- 4 1 4 - -3.05 528 A Alabama 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.67 531 H Texas Tech 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.05 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Utah 11- 0 11 5 +++ 6.03 219 H Auburn 23- 1 22 6 +++ 8.46 508 H Wisconsin 19- 5 14 6 +++ 7.54 517 A South Carolina 15- 1 14 4 +++ 10.16 523 A UCF 14- 4 10 3 +++ 7.45 529 A Arkansas 11- 0 11 -1 +++ 11.86 206 H UC San Diego 18- 1 17 10 ++ 4.12 222 H Texas A&M 15- 7 8 4 ++ 4.50 321 A Rutgers 16- 5 11 5 ++ 5.64 322 A Rutgers 13- 3 10 5 ++ 4.64 323 A Rutgers 17- 6 11 5 ++ 5.64 410 A Illinois 17- 0 17 9 ++ 5.20 412 A Illinois 18- 0 18 9 ++ 5.20 415 A Long Beach State 27- 9 18 8 ++ 5.58 503 H Oregon 11- 3 8 4 ++ 4.21 208 H UC Riverside 17- 0 17 11 + 3.17 221 H Fresno State 11- 0 11 9 + 2.31 306 H Wisconsin 14- 5 9 6 + 2.54 425 A Washington 7- 2 5 2 + 2.94 522 H UCF 9- 1 8 4 + 3.96 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Northern Color ( 2- 8, 91.2) 10- 1 -8.73 10.64 -0.74 0.39 7.80
3 H UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 18- 1 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.39 7.19
3 H Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 12- 4 -9.29 10.08 -0.74 0.39 7.35
3 H Utah (36-19, 95.3) 11- 0 -4.58 14.79 -0.74 0.39 11.06
3 H UC Riverside ( 2-11, 89.5) 17- 0 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.39 6.45
3 A Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 3- 4 -2.79 16.58 0.74 0.39 -0.40
3 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 6- 5 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.39 11.59
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 0-11 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.39 -0.44
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 7-11 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.39 -0.33
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 8- 3 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.39 11.71
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 23- 1 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.39 10.62
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 10- 5 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 0.39 12.08
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 6- 5 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.39 11.16
3 H South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 5- 4 -4.93 14.44 -0.74 0.39 10.79
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 11- 0 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 0.39 8.13
3 H Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 15- 7 -3.12 16.25 -0.74 0.39 12.22
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 15-12 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.39 14.10
3 H East Texas A&M ( 0- 9, 85.9) 14- 0 -14.02 5.35 -0.74 0.39 3.63
3 H BYU (19-29, 91.4) 13- 8 -8.48 10.89 -0.74 0.39 8.00
3 A Seattle U ( 2- 4, 93.0) 16-10 -6.86 12.51 0.74 0.39 10.44
3 A Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 13- 3 -9.29 10.08 0.74 0.39 8.52
3 A Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 13- 3 -9.29 10.08 0.74 0.39 8.52
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 14- 5 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.39 9.89
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 8- 0 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.39 9.89
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 16- 9 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.39 9.89
3 H Loyola Marymou (12- 8, 93.8) 9- 1 -6.10 13.27 -0.74 0.39 9.86
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 10- 0 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.39 7.34
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 18-10 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.39 7.34
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 10- 2 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.39 7.34
3 A Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 16- 5 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.39 10.76
3 A Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 13- 3 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.39 10.76
3 A Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 17- 6 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.39 10.76
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 1-10 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.39 -1.02
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 6- 6 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.39 0.00
3 A Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 4- 8 -1.22 18.15 0.74 0.39 -0.09
3 H Hawai'i ( 0- 7, 87.6) 9- 5 -12.32 7.05 -0.74 0.39 4.97
3 H Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 5- 4 -3.67 15.70 -0.74 0.39 11.78
3 H Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 7- 2 -3.67 15.70 -0.74 0.39 11.78
3 H Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 4- 0 -3.67 15.70 -0.74 0.39 11.78
3 A Cal State Full (10-11, 94.8) 13-11 -5.08 14.29 0.74 0.39 11.84
3 A Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 17- 0 -9.90 9.47 0.74 0.39 8.04
3 A Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 10- 1 -9.90 9.47 0.74 0.39 8.04
3 A Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 18- 0 -9.90 9.47 0.74 0.39 8.04
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 13- 6 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.39 9.40
3 A Long Beach Sta ( 4- 8, 90.4) 27- 9 -9.51 9.86 0.74 0.39 8.35
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 13- 5 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.39 7.92
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 9- 1 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.39 7.92
3 A Washington (36-18, 96.7) 7- 5 -3.16 16.21 0.74 0.39 13.35
3 A Washington (36-18, 96.7) 7- 2 -3.16 16.21 0.74 0.39 13.35
3 H Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 9-15 -2.83 16.54 -0.74 0.39 -0.70
3 H Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 2- 8 -3.40 15.97 -0.74 0.39 -0.82
3 H Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 11-13 -3.40 15.97 -0.74 0.39 -0.82
3 H Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 11- 3 -3.40 15.97 -0.74 0.39 11.99
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 6- 1 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.39 10.78
3 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 19- 5 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.39 9.89
3 A Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 2- 7 -1.22 18.15 0.74 0.39 -0.09
3 H California Bap (37-19, 93.2) 12-11 -6.69 12.68 -0.74 0.39 9.40
3 H South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 7- 2 -4.93 14.44 -0.74 0.39 10.79
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 15- 1 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.39 11.96
3 H UCF (40-20, 96.2) 9- 1 -3.65 15.72 -0.74 0.39 11.80
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 14- 4 -3.65 15.72 0.74 0.39 12.97
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 3- 6 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.39 -0.00
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 11- 0 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.39 15.66
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 7- 8 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.39 -0.28
------
512.01
|
winning pts = 517.0161 losing points = -5.0014
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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